THE BALTIC Dry Index rounded out the past week at 1323 – down 9.6% on the beginning of the week (when the BDI was 1463) and down significantly from the index’s recent peak of 1996 on 5 October.

Baltic Dry Index for the week ending 4 November 2022. Source: Baltic Exchange

Capesize

The past week has had a negative trend overall, but closed up by the end. The average of the 5 Capesize time charter routes closed the week at US$11,139, slipping US$2,713 week-on week. The Brazil to Qingdao trade appeared to be very date specific this week with wide spreads seen on early December loading window, pricing US$19.594 on Friday. Vessels were offered higher rates if they could make the end of November dates in Brazil ports. With year-end approaching, the market also saw both ship owners and charterers fixing vessels for end of December. In the Pacific, the west Australia to Qingdao trade hovered around the level of US$8, or about US$8,300 per day for a transpacific round voyage. Overall the market has a negative trend. And, despite owners showing some resistance, the second half of the year is looking softer than expected.

Panamax

A mixed week for the sector with no real clear direction as areas such as the North Atlantic saw rates slowly move downwards with limited fresh enquiry. However, as the week ended, the South Atlantic saw renewed activity both for Transatlantic runs and fronthaul business which gave owners some hope. An 81,000-dwt fixing delivery EC South America for a trip to Singapore-Japan in the mid US$17,000s plus mid US$US$700,000s ballast bonus. From Asia, the week saw increased volume of Australian coal requirements and NoPac business, but sentiment fluctuated with some owners discounting to get cover. An 81,000-dwt open North China fixing a NoPac round at US$16,000, whilst from Australia an 87,000-dwt open Tianjin fixed an Australian round at US$20,000. From the south, sentiment remained flat although small size suffered more than the larger sisters. A 75,000-dwt open South China fixing an Indonesian round in the low US$12,000s. Period activity was seen and an 84,000-dwt open Japan mid-November fixed at US$16,000 for one year’s trading

Ultramax/Supramax

Overall it was a poor week for the sector. This was mainly led from Asia, which saw a downward correction for the majority of the week. However, as the week ended some felt a bottom may have been reached. The Atlantic faired a little better and despite quieter tones there were pockets of resistance. In the Atlantic the US Gulf was mixed, a 55,000-dwt fixed a trip to Egypt in the mid US$19,000s. The South Atlantic, meanwhile, was positional. A 63,000-dwt fixed delivery EC South America for a trip to WC South America at US$37,000. From Asia, it was a very poor start and a 58,000-dwt open CJK reportedly fixed an Indonesian round in the mid US$5,000s. Similarly, on the backhaul trade, lower rates were registered and a 57,000-dwt fixed delivery North China trip to Brazil at US$12,000. There was limited activity from the Indian Ocean, but a 61,000-dwt fixed delivery Richards Bay for a trip via Beira redelivery EC India at US$19,000 plus US$190,000 ballast bonus.

Handysize

A week of negative sentiment continued to drive the BHSI down. In Asia, sources spoke of a continued lack of enquiry. A 37,000-dwt open in Thailand 2 November was fixed via East Coast Australia to Singapore-Japan carrying an intended cargo of concentrates in the US$11,000s, with the scrubber for the charterer’s benefit. A 29,000-dwt open in Rizhao was fixed for a trip to the Mediterranean with an intended cargo of steels at US$10,200. A 37,000-dwt open in Everret was fixed for a trip from the US West Coast to Singapore-Japan range at US$16,000. The Atlantic also saw a lack of visible activity, with some suggesting the Eisbein events had contributed. A 40,000-dwt was understood to have failed on subjects for a trip from the Eastern Mediterranean to the US Gulf with an intended cargo of steels at under US$20,000 as charterers used their own vessel.

Clean

The Middle East Gulf has seen a mixture of behaviour this week. LR2 demand has been minimal and TC1 lost 6.25 points to WS185.94 with a trip west on TC20 dropping below the US$4,000,000 mark for the second time in three weeks. Comparatively, the LR1s have had just enough enquiry to keep them stable. TC5 has gained five points to WS215.36 and a voyage to the west on TC8 has held around the US$3,500,000 level all week.

AG MRs lost the momentum gathered last week and the TC17 index dropped from WS397.14 to WS374.29. West of Suez, LR activity looks to have been very minimal this week and subsequently TC15 has dipped to around US$3,300,000 (-US$137,000) and TC16 lost 10 points to WS208.57.

On the UK-Continent, MRs have picked up as the week has progressed. TC2 bottomed out at around WS272.5 midweek to then return to WS275. Similarly, TC19’s downward movement halted at WS280 and has since returned back up to WS285 at the time of writing.

In the US Gulf, MR levels have been stable this week with just enough enquiry to keep freight levels stable and at an apparent floor for the moment. TC14 dropped an incremental WS2.92 points to WS169.58 and likewise TC18 dipped from WS269.17 to WS267.5. On a run down the Caribbean, TC21, a widely reported fixture at US$675,000 midweek led the index to rest at this level for 48 hours. This was followed by a small improvement to US$693,000 by the end of the week.

The MR Atlantic Triangulation Basket TCE gained US$52 from US$32,502 to US$32,554.

On the Handymax, in the Mediterranean TC6 has been consistently chipped away at by charterers this week. This was reflected in the index dropping 33.12 points from WS275 to WS241.88. In the Baltic TC9 after peaking around the WS445 mark gently recorrected down to WS431.07 for the moment.

VLCC

The VLCC market rebounded this week. 270,000mt NHC Middle East Gulf to China recovered eight points to WS106.5 (a daily TCE round trip earning of US$71,900), while the 280,000mt Middle-East Gulf to US Gulf (via the cape/cape routing) trip is assessed four points higher than last week at WS59.

In the Atlantic region, the rate for 260,000mt from West Africa to China gained six points to WS105 (a round-trip TCE Earning of US$72,000 per day) and 270,000mt US Gulf/China rose US$975,000 to just above US$12.9 million (US$68,300 per day round trip TCE).

Suezmax

The Suezmax rates in the West lost a few points but income barely changed. The 135,000mt CPC/Augusta trip shed two points to the WS202.5 level (a TCE showing a daily return of US$87,600, which is what it was last Friday). In West Africa, the 130,000mt to Rotterdam voyage saw rates fall three points showing a marginal decrease in the daily TCE round-trip at US$68,300. The 140,000mt Basrah/Lavera market dropped five points to around WS95-96.

Aframax

The Aframax market in the US-Caribbean region fell back from its high perch, with the rate for 70,000mt Covenas/US Gulf losing 24 points to WS383 (US$96,400 per day round-trip TCE). This was on the back of minimal activity this week. The 70,000mt East Coast Mexico/US Gulf trip dropped 22 points to WS394 (a round-trip TCE of about US$106,400).

For the longer-haul 70,000mt US Gulf/Rotterdam voyage the rate has eased a meagre three points to WS301 (a TCE of US$67,100 per day round-trip, the same as a week ago). Across the Atlantic, 80,000mt Hound Point/Wilhelmshaven is now rated five points higher than a week ago at WS214 (a daily TCE of US$74,800 round-trip). And in the Mediterranean 80,000mt Ceyhan/Lavera slipped two points to the WS235-236 level (showing a daily round-trip TCE of US$68,300, which is US$400 per day up on last Friday).